3* Non-Conference Game of the Week on Pittsburgh -11

3* Non-Conference Game of the Week on Pittsburgh -11

Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo, 10/20/2012 15:30 EDT, Score: 20 - 6

Point Spread: -11/-110 Pittsburgh

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Win

3* Non-Conference Game of the Week on Pittsburgh -11
Pitt has underachieved to this point and has only shown what it is capable of with a 35-17 victory over Virginia Tech. After back-to-back losses to a pair of Big East foes, the Panthers will take great pride in beating the tar out of struggling Buffalo team that has lost 4 in a row by an average of 18.0 points.

Right away, I like the fact that road teams that allowed 42 points or more in their last game, provided they are matched up against an opponent that checks in off a loss of 28 or more points, are 62-24 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season.

Going right along with this, we find that Pitt is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in its previous game.

Buffalo has shot itself in the foot with turnovers and penalties during its slide. This bodes well for us as Pittsburgh is 7-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus mistake prone teams that average 60 penalty yards or more per game. It was won these games by an average score of 26.1 to 12.4.

The Panthers defeated the Bulls 35-16 last season and have won each of the 3 all-time meetings by 11 points or more.

The Panthers are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a losing record while the Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a losing record. The Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 versus the Big East. Lay the points.

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