New England vs. Seattle,
10/14/2012 16:05 EDT,
Score: 23 - 24
Point Spread: -3½/+101 New England
New England Patriots -3.5
Since suffering back-to-back defeats, the Patriots has responded with back-to-back impressive wins. I expect them to keep right on rolling in Seattle as the Seahawks don't have the offense to keep pace.
The Seahawks are 27th in the NFL in total offense with 287.2 yards per game and 28th in scoring with 17.2 points per game. The Patriots, meanwhile, are No. 1 in both total and scoring offense with 439.4 yards and 33.0 points per contest.
The only think Seattle does well offensively is run the football. Unfortunately, nobody has had much success running on New England this season. The Pats rank 8th in the NFL against the run with 82.8 yards allowed per game.
The Seahawks lead the league in total defense, but they are yet to see an offensive attack like New England brings to the table. Unlike last season, the Pats also have an explosive running game to go with their precision passing attack.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS this season and have long been a quality road investment. They are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 road games. New England is also an awesome 30-15 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less under coach Bill Belichick.
The Seahawks are 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a win and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games versus a team with a winning record. Lay the points.