25* BCS Bowl GAME OF THE YEAR on Wisconsin +5.5
Wisconsin vs. Oregon,
01/02/2012 17:00 EDT,
Score: 38 - 45
Point Spread: +5½/-110 Wisconsin
The Wisconsin Badgers should not be an underdog to the Oregon Ducks in the Rose Bowl Monday. The Badgers are two fluke plays away from being undefeated and playing for a national championship. I fully expect them to win this game outright.
Having all this extra time to prepare is huge for Wisconsin. Oregon's strength is their element of surprise with an up-tempo offense that focuses on pace and unpredictability. It's a huge advantage for the Ducks from week to week when opposing teams only have six days to prepare. It's not such an advantage when Wisconsin has had over a month to prepare.
While both teams have prolific offenses, I believe this game will be won by Wisconsin's underrated defense. The Badgers rank 8th in the country in total defense (293.0 yards/game), while the Ducks rank just 61st in total defense (382.2 yards/game).
The Badgers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. good offensive teams scoring 31 or more points/game. Wisconsin is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after playing a game where 80 or more total points were scored. The Badges are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when playing with 2 or more weeks of rest. This is a 21-1 (95%) System backing the Badgers. Bet Wisconsin Monday.