3* Big 12 Game of the Week on West Virginia -3.5

3* Big 12 Game of the Week on West Virginia -3.5

West Virginia vs. Texas Tech, 10/13/2012 15:30 EDT, Score: 14 - 49

Point Spread: -3½/-105 West Virginia

Sportsbook: Intertops

Result: Loss

3* Big 12 Game of the Week on West Virginia -3.5
The Mountaineers won at Texas last week, and I expect them to take care of business here against a Texas Tech squad that isn't as talented as the Longhorns.

Texas Tech has good defensive numbers, but it has played a soft schedule with the exception of Oklahoma. It allowed Landry Jones to complete 25 of 40 passes for 259 yards with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions in last week's 21-point home loss to the Sooners. If the Red Raiders couldn't slow down Jones, how are they going to slow down Geno Smith, who has completed 81.4 percent of his throws for 1,996 yards with 24 touchdowns and no picks?

The Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, and the Red Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

Also, plays on road favorites after 5 or more consecutive wins, when playing on a Saturday, are 73-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. In other words, it makes sense to ride the hot hand, even on the road. Lay the points.


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