3* Super System Smoker on Dolphins -3.5

3* Super System Smoker on Dolphins -3.5

St. Louis vs. Miami, 10/14/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 14 - 17

Point Spread: -3½/-105 Miami

Sportsbook: Intertops

Result: Loss

3* Super System Smoker on Dolphins -3.5
The numbers are greatly in our favor in this matchup.

St. Louis’ upset win over Arizona puts it in a tough spot. Consider that plays against any team off an upset win over a division rival at home, provided it has a winning record on the season, are a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

In addition, plays against road underdogs or pickems that are coming off an upset win by 10 points or more, provided we are in Weeks 5 through 9, are 5-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

There is also a nice little system backing the Dolphins. Plays on favorites that have covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 games, provided they have won between 25% and 40% of their games and are matched up against a team with a winning record, are 38-11 ATS since 1983. This system tightens up to a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons.

The Dolphins have been a terrific investment at 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games, and they have been an awesome money-maker against winning teams at 9-0 ATS in their last 9 versus teams with a winning record.
The Rams are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 versus a team with a losing record.

It is also worth noting that the home team is on a 4-0 ATS run in the last 4 meetings. Lay the points.


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