Oakland vs. Denver,
09/30/2012 16:05 EDT,
Score: 6 - 37
Point Spread: +7/-110 Oakland
Oakland Raiders +7
The Raiders enter this division showdown with some momentum after a big upset win over the Steelers. The key to the victory was getting the ground game going. Darren McFadden finished with 113 rushing yards after totaling just 54 in his first two games.
I like Oakland's chances of running the football on Denver, who was gashed for 152 yards on the ground by Houston. McFadden is averaging 144.7 yards in his last three contests against the Broncos, who will have an even tougher time slowing him down without middle linebacker Joe Mays, who was suspended one game and fined $50,000 fine for a hit on Matt Schaub.
The team with the most rushing yards has won each of the past seven meetings in this series. The Raiders have come out on top in five of those seven while averaging 196.6 rushing yards per game.
The Raiders are 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings overall and 6-0 against the spread in their last 6 in Denver. They have won the last 4 in the Mile High City straight up by an average of 17.5 points.
The Broncos are on an 11-23-2 against the spread slide versus division foes and are only 15-35-2 against the spread in their last 52 home games. Take the points.