free play from doc's sports
Washington vs. Philadelphia,
09/21/2014 13:00 EDT
Point Spread: -6½/-103 Philadelphia
Free NFL Football Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take #456 Philadelphia over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21) I have handed out FOUR straight free play winners in this space, and I want to keep it rolling! I am also off to a sensational college football start with over $2,300 in profit and this week I’m going to keep that rolling, too. I won with the Eagles on Monday Night Football to cap a winning NFL Week 2, and I think I’ll go right back to them here. I think the Eagles have more momentum off their comeback win over Washington than the Redskins gained by blowing out the Jaguars. There is no doubt that Kirk Cousins is a better quarterback – by a wide margin – than Bob Griffin. But there are still some fundamental problems with Washington, particularly in the secondary, and the Eagles should exploit those weaknesses. Philadelphia is going to be nearly impossible to beat at home this season, and I think that they are going to wear teams down and tack on those extra couple fourth quarter scores to keep them ahead of a lot of lines. They have won their last five regular season home games by an average of 17 points and those differentials were by 17, 43, 14, 3 and 8 points. Even if you kick out the 43-point outlier the other four wins were by an average of 10.5 points per game. The Eagles are only 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games. But those numbers are set up for a huge regression, and I can see the Eagles going 6-2 or 7-1 ATS this season on their own turf. This Philadelphia team is one of the best in football. And even though Washington has some solid defensive stats working in their favor they have also faced Ryan Fitzpatrick and Chad Henne this year. This will be the best offense the Eagles have faced to date, and I don’t know that they’re up for it. The action is split almost 50-50 in this game, and the Redskins are taking the lion’s share of the moneyline action. But this isn’t a 50-50 game at all. Philadelphia will pull away late, and I can see them winning this one by between 13-17 points.