Stephen Nover's Tuesday Free Play
Cincinnati vs. Chi Cubs,
09/16/2014 20:05 EDT
Money Line: -110 Cincinnati
Even losing 1-0 to the Cubs last night, Cincinnati still has won 21 of the past 27 times at Wrigley Field. Chicago is not showing much of a pulse going 2-8 in its last 10 games with seven of those defeats coming by four or more runs. The Cubs have scored less than four runs in eight of their past 10 games.
Now they face Johnny Cueto, perhaps the top right-hander in the National League. Cueto is attempting to win his 19th game, which would tie Clayton Kershaw for the league lead. Cueto has a 2.15 ERA on the season and is in excellent form again winning his last three starts while posting a 1.17 ERA with 21 strikeouts in 23 innings.
Cueto has a lifetime 2.97 ERA versus the Cubs in 21 starts. He's also held Anthony Rizzo, the Cubs' main source of power, to just two hits in 18 at bats.
The Reds are 20-8 in Cueto's last 28 starts, including going 14-4 in his last 18 outings. Cueto out-trumps Cubs starter Jake Arrieta, who is pitching well but does have a 6.55 ERA in two starts against the Reds this year.
In addition to this selection, long-time pro Stephen Nover has his top underdog game of the week going today.