FREE PLAY from Tony George Sports
Alabama vs. Georgia,
10/03/2015 15:30 EDT
Point Spread: +2½/-110 Alabama
Tony’s SEC Free Play of the Week – Marquee Matchup
Courtesy of Tony George Sports
Alabama @ Georgia
WOW – This is a big one this Saturday folks, between the hedges with the odds on favorite to win the SEC East, Georgia stepping up front row and center and take on the mighty 1 loss Crimson Tide on a national TV feature Saturday afternoon as a favorite by less than a field goal. Bama is an underdog for the first time since 2009 and come in here with a loss, as Ol Miss went to Tuscaloosa and beat Bama on a fluke play and using some good old fashion defense. Speaking of defense, in a tune up game for this one the Bama defense held Louisiana Monroe to 9 yards rushing last week and 92 yards of total offense last week.
So do you really think Mark Richt is going to out coach Nick Saban on Saturday? Alabama 9-1 SU against SEC East teams the last 10 times they faced them. Georgia under Richt has blown every chance a “big win” game about 95% of the time of his tenure if not more, and I just do not trust him with in game adjustments pitted up against Saban in a big game. This is a game between two teams and not coaches folks, but what happens in the locker room at halftime shows up on the field in the second half more times than not with good coaching, and I think coaching has a lot to do with the outcome of this game and again I do not trust Mark Richt in a big game based on past results.
This is not life or death for the Bulldogs by any means as they have a better than average chance of seeing Alabama in the SEC Championship game or whoever wins the West because with Mizzou floundering this year big time, it is Georgia’s division to win or lose. Perhaps that allows them to play loose, but the game plan is simple for the Bulldogs, pound the rock 35 times this game with your 2 stud running backs, Alabama’s plan is simple as well, stop the run with your big and good defensive line and try and make them throw it and rely on their QB to force some passes and get some turnovers and convert them to points with a short field.
THE KEY IN THIS GAME: Georgia has a weak QB situation, and frankly Alabama’s front 6 is as good as it gets and the Georgia running game will not be stopped entirely but will be contained and that puts pressure on Bulldog QB Lambert against a good defense to make plays and that positions weakness will shine through.
I am not saying Alabama is without concern at their QB position because I am not sold on Jake Coker who has garnered just 55% in completion rate and has thrown a interception in 3 straight games, but defense and coaching wins big games, and that has me looking at Bama on Saturday.
Lean to Alabama +2.5
Check out Tony’s Saturday action. Off a 8-2-1 week last week overall in football, Tony’s Top College Plays are undefeated this season and he has another one Saturday along with a 4-Pack of winners, and ALL plays are guaranteed on Tony’s Site.