Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 22 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free Pick
Matchup: Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 22 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Saturday, Sept. 21, 3:30 p.m. (ET)
NCAAF Betting Odds: VietBet
Pointspread: Notre Dame -7
Total Line: OFF
The Spartans come into this showdown fresh off a 55-17 romp over Youngstown State as 22.5-point home favorites. This followed a 21-6 victory over South Florida in Week 2 as 21.5-point favorites at home. Michigan State has started the season 3-0 straight-up but it is just 1-2 against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER in two of the three games.
Michigan State has been getting it done the old fashion way so far. It is averaging 209.7 rushing yards a game behind Jeremy Langford and Nick Hill. These two have combined for 379 yards and five rushing touchdowns in the first three games. The Spartans have also done a great job at keeping opponents out of the end zone by allowing an average of just 12 points a game. This unit will be tested against a quality offense like Notre Dame’s, but the good news is that it remains the strong point of this team.
The Fighting Irish will have probably had their fill of the Big Ten after Saturday’s game. Two weeks ago they fell to No. 15 Michigan on the road 41-30 as 4.5-point underdogs and this past Saturday they needed a 21-point fourth quarter effort to escape with a 31-24 victory over Purdue as 17-point favorites at home. The total went OVER in both of those games. Notre Dame is now 2-1 SU on the year but 0-3 ATS.
With Tommy Rees under center, the Irish have relied heavily on their passing game through their first three contests. He has thrown for 969 yards and seven touchdowns while completing just over 60 percent of his passes. DaVaris Daniels and TJ Jones have combined for 36 receptions for 588 yards and five touchdowns to help offset a rushing attack that is averaging just 125 yards a game. Notre Dame’s defense has done a respectable job overall, but it was tagged for 41 points in the loss to the Wolverines which means it can be scored upon.
Free College Football Pick
This is definitely not the Notre Dame team that went all the way to the BCS title game last season, but it is still better than Michigan State, especially playing this game at home. Last week’s scare against Purdue should act as a wake-up call, so look for the Irish to take care of business this Saturday with a win that covers the seven points.
Notre Dame 27 Michigan State 17